Local and National Polls Great News for Dems, Hodes, CSP
New national polls are further energizing Democrats here in New Hampshire as a little more than 3 weeks remain before the election on November 7.
A new USA Today/Gallup poll release last week showed that President Bush’s approval rating is at 37 points, which is a seven point drop over the last three weeks. This is trouble for both Charlie Bass and Jeb Bradley who have each voted overwhelmingly with the president and the GOPleadership. Their lockstep with their party is putting them in even hotter water because congress is currently polling at 24 percent (a five point drop from September).
Democrats have a walloping 23 point lead, 59 percent to 36, on a generic ballot, doubling the lead that Republicans had a month before the ’94 elections. The worst news for the two congressman is that the number of people polled who said they would re-elect their own congressman is also at it’s lowest since 1994.
Meanwhile, a local poll revealed great news for Democratic congressioonal candidate Paul Hodes. In the new independent poll, conducted by Becker Institute, Inc., showed Paul Hodes leading Charlie Bass by 9 points. The poll revealed more bad news for Bass as it showed that 40 percent of voters view him unfavorably, only three points less than the 43 percent who do view him favorably. As Kevin Landrigan of the Nashua Telegraph said, "that is never where an incumbent wants to be."
Under increasing pressure from Paul Hodes, over the last few weeks Charlie Bass has had to deal with repeated scandals. First, his Policy Director was forced to resign after using government resources for campaigning, a violation of House rules. Then, on Monday, Bass was caught on tape downplaying the Mark Foley sex scandal, and making comments about VT Congressman Bernie Sanders that reminded many of Sen. George Allen's "macaca" comment.
Even the "good news" was not so good for Charlie Bass as an American Research Group poll showed Bass only up by six points (48-42) and within the margin of error (MoE).
The Becker Institue poll also showed Carol Shea-Porter (CSP!) gaining on Congressman Jeb Bradley. Over the last month, support for Bradley has dropped below 50 percent. Bradley now only leads CSP 49-37 with 14 percent undecided and according to Landrigan, the summary from the poll said that "Jeb Bradley could have his hands full holding onto this seat."
All this information also is a good omen for Democratic candidates at the state level. With GOP numbers falling every day at the top of the ticket, Dems across the state are liking their chances on November 7 more and more.
However, we are not taking anything for granted. Our candidates still need your help though. In the last 21 days of the election and on November 7 itself we need volunteers and supporters to help get more and more people excited about our Democratic candidates and GET OUT THE VOTE.
CLICK HERE TO VOLUNTEER or call the NHDP coordinated campaign office at (603) 625-0010.
A new USA Today/Gallup poll release last week showed that President Bush’s approval rating is at 37 points, which is a seven point drop over the last three weeks. This is trouble for both Charlie Bass and Jeb Bradley who have each voted overwhelmingly with the president and the GOPleadership. Their lockstep with their party is putting them in even hotter water because congress is currently polling at 24 percent (a five point drop from September).
Democrats have a walloping 23 point lead, 59 percent to 36, on a generic ballot, doubling the lead that Republicans had a month before the ’94 elections. The worst news for the two congressman is that the number of people polled who said they would re-elect their own congressman is also at it’s lowest since 1994.
Meanwhile, a local poll revealed great news for Democratic congressioonal candidate Paul Hodes. In the new independent poll, conducted by Becker Institute, Inc., showed Paul Hodes leading Charlie Bass by 9 points. The poll revealed more bad news for Bass as it showed that 40 percent of voters view him unfavorably, only three points less than the 43 percent who do view him favorably. As Kevin Landrigan of the Nashua Telegraph said, "that is never where an incumbent wants to be."
Under increasing pressure from Paul Hodes, over the last few weeks Charlie Bass has had to deal with repeated scandals. First, his Policy Director was forced to resign after using government resources for campaigning, a violation of House rules. Then, on Monday, Bass was caught on tape downplaying the Mark Foley sex scandal, and making comments about VT Congressman Bernie Sanders that reminded many of Sen. George Allen's "macaca" comment.
Even the "good news" was not so good for Charlie Bass as an American Research Group poll showed Bass only up by six points (48-42) and within the margin of error (MoE).
The Becker Institue poll also showed Carol Shea-Porter (CSP!) gaining on Congressman Jeb Bradley. Over the last month, support for Bradley has dropped below 50 percent. Bradley now only leads CSP 49-37 with 14 percent undecided and according to Landrigan, the summary from the poll said that "Jeb Bradley could have his hands full holding onto this seat."
All this information also is a good omen for Democratic candidates at the state level. With GOP numbers falling every day at the top of the ticket, Dems across the state are liking their chances on November 7 more and more.
However, we are not taking anything for granted. Our candidates still need your help though. In the last 21 days of the election and on November 7 itself we need volunteers and supporters to help get more and more people excited about our Democratic candidates and GET OUT THE VOTE.
CLICK HERE TO VOLUNTEER or call the NHDP coordinated campaign office at (603) 625-0010.
posted by Evan @ 2:45 PM
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